Thursday, January 3, 2008

Iowa Election

Mark the time.

I'm calling the election now for Obama in Iowa. Why? While Edwards is ahead right now I'm guessing these are mostly rural precincts reporting. Why does that matter? because Edwards campaigned in this rural precincts. I'm guessing these precincts are the first to report because they have less people and would thus make the complicated process of caucusing go more quickly.

While Edwards was a favorite 2nd choice. It is clear now that Richardson and Dennis both threw their supporters to Obama that Obama will be able to better close the second choice gap, and maybe even close it.

Here's my guess for the numbers at the end of the night

Obama: 34%
Edwards 33%
Hillary: 32%

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